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In this model, we can see how @RISK is used to analyse the quality of electrical circuits produced. The Power Draw on this circuit must fall within a specified range in order to function properly. @RISK will show us how frequently the Power Draw does not meet this specification, and which variables are leading to these results.

Below is a screen shot of the @RISK model in Microsoft Excel. Click here to download the model. You must have @RISK installed on your computer for the model to function. To download a free trial version of @RISK, click here.

Explanation

This simple DC circuit consists of two voltage sources — one independent and one dependant — and two resistors. The independent source specified by the Design Engineer has an operational power range of 5,550 W + 300 W. If the power draw on the independent voltage source is outside of the specification, the circuit will be defective. The design performance results clearly indicate that the design is not capable of performance with a percentage of the circuits failing on both the high and low end of the limits. The PNC values identify the Percent of Nonconforming units expected on the upper and lower ends of the specification.

The basic logic for this model follows:

The model calculates the standard deviation for each component based on known information and the following assumptions within this model: 1) The mean of the component values are centered within the tolerance limits. 2) The component values are normally distributed. Note that @RISK can be used to fit a probability distribution to a data set or to model other types of probability distributions, if needed.

The @RISK Sensitivity Analysis identifies the input variables driving variation in the output. The sensitivity shows that the two voltage sources are the main contributors to the variation in power consumption. Armed with this information, the engineering team can focus their improvement efforts on the voltage sources instead of the resistors.

The model can be used to test different components and tolerances, performances and yields can be compared, and the optimal solution can be selected to maximise yield and reduce cost.

Download Model: Electrical Circuit Analysis

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